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RobertW
Member



Joined: 2004/2/12
Posts: 4636
St. Joseph, Missouri

 Re:

Quote:
You are correct, you must have done stats some time.



When I was in H.S my computer teacher was an ultra smart math teacher. He got me thinking about probabilities. I guess it is a way of coming to terms with things. It relates to my walk with God in that at times I see things happening that I know are impossible without God intervening. Helps me see God at work in my life and the life of others when I can quickly estimate how likely some event was to take place. This is not a general thing I do- but at times when things come together with many variables I see God's handiwork (providence) and am encouraged. I read once where an older believer told of how young believers get excited when they see God answer their prayers- but as you grow in God you are taken back by His providence. Being able to see things come together that were wildly impossible without God and you never prayed about it- is an awesome thing.

God Bless,

-Robert


_________________
Robert Wurtz II

 2005/7/20 14:17Profile
philologos
Member



Joined: 2003/7/18
Posts: 6566
Reading, UK

 Re:

Quote:
However it is a simple question as I see it. We know that 300,000 is on the high end in terms of hair count. that would be a dense populated large head.


It would certainly be on the 'high end' for own personal hair count. I won't get into the territory of dense populations or large heads. ;-)


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Ron Bailey

 2005/7/20 14:46Profile
dann
Member



Joined: 2005/2/16
Posts: 239
Winnipeg, Manitoba Canada

 Re:

Ah, the question was already answered before I had the chance to post.

Our Stats teacher once asked if 10,000 homes received for six consecutive weeks in a row, market predictions from a trading house - and if those predictions turned out to be absolutely correct each and every week, would be willing to trust them with an investment?

Some said yes, some said no, and the teacher showed then if in week one the firm distributed 640,000 pamphlets, half predicting movement one way, and half the other, then the next week they did the same with the 320,000 that were correctly predicted, and again with the 160,000, then 80,000, then 40,000, then 20,000 and finally the last 10,000 get six aces in a row. From that ten thousand perhaps only 5% (500 people) would invest - but that would more than pay for their pamphlet expenses...

I gave a statistical answer to the original question, but having just seen robert's answer, I edited it out. It was only posted for a minute or so anyway.

Dan
/\/
\/\


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Daniel van de Laar

 2005/7/20 14:57Profile
Sentry
Member



Joined: 2004/2/5
Posts: 119
West Monroe, Louisiana

 Re: Brainteaser

Well, this is not an answer to your question, but something else to consider.

It says that the very hairs of our head are numbered.
So, to me, this means that I could go find a hair on the floor or the couch and God could tell me: "Yes, that's number 10,461."

He's a great God!


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Mark

 2005/7/20 22:07Profile
ZekeO
Member



Joined: 2004/7/4
Posts: 1014
Pietermaritzburg, South Africa

 Re:

Quote:

RobertW wrote:
It relates to my walk with God in that at times I see things happening that I know are impossible without God intervening. Helps me see God at work in my life and the life of others when I can quickly estimate how likely some event was to take place.



Thats an interesting point, because the way that the answer is deduced is called 'proof by contradiction'. Interesting. I suppose its like taking something to its furtherest degree and working back till we have a logical framework by which to measure things by.


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Zeke Oosthuis

 2005/7/21 2:23Profile
taco
Member



Joined: 2004/4/27
Posts: 211


 Re:

Did you know that if there are 23 people in a room that there is a greater than 50% chance that at least 2 of them will have the same birthday?

This flies in the face of our intuition (mine anyway) but it is statisticaly accurate.

 2005/7/21 7:21Profile
RobertW
Member



Joined: 2004/2/12
Posts: 4636
St. Joseph, Missouri

 Re:

Quote:
Interesting. I suppose its like taking something to its furtherest degree and working back till we have a logical framework by which to measure things by



I think also that we live in a day of 'higher criticism' which elevates the standards higher than necessary. In other words we should not refuse to see God's providence unless the probability of something happening is like getting hit by lightening 4 days in a row (and surviving) or something. Yet the reason why we need to use caution in this area is that folk will start to 'see God' doing things He is not doing and reading into things that are not meant to be read into. Some things are merely coincidence and some folks see everything as prophetic in that sense. One can really get off into 'lah' 'lah' land if their not careful. Yet some things are self-evident. Either way I don't run my life by these things I merely see them as an opportunity to be encouraged in God's providence. Our lives must be directed by God's word and the Holy Spirit.

God Bless,

-Robert


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Robert Wurtz II

 2005/7/21 8:20Profile





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